副热带东南太平洋海温对东北夏季降水的影响及可能机制   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

高晶  高辉 《大气科学》2015,39(5):967-977

诊断分析表明,前期副热带东南太平洋海温尤其是前春海温与东北夏季降水存在持续稳定的负相关关系。无论是在年际时间尺度还是年代际尺度上,冬、春、夏季海温演变趋势与降水均呈反位相。尺度分离结果显示,关键区海温与降水的显著负相关主要依赖于其年代际分量,但年际分量也起到较重要贡献。相关分析和合成分析结果都发现,当副热带东南太平洋海温偏低时,其上空可激发出反气旋式距平风场,而在关键区海域西北部激发出气旋式距平环流。同时在所罗门群岛和菲律宾南部分别出现反气旋式和气旋式距平环流。西太平洋副热带高压(副高)位置较常年偏西,副高区为反气旋式距平环流。在东北地区西侧则为气旋式距平环流。在这样的环流背景下,副高西侧的南风加强了源自南海和西太平洋的暖湿气流和北方冷空气在东北地区的交汇,从而使东北夏季多雨。反之,当东南太平洋海温偏高时,其激发的气旋及反气旋距平中心和偏低年刚好相反,副高位置偏东,其西侧的南方水汽输送偏弱,同时东北冷涡也偏弱,冷暖空气汇合形成的低空辐合弱,东北降水因此偏少。这表明,副热带东南太平洋海温异常时确实能激发出一个从关键海区到东北地区的跨越南北半球的气旋-反气旋交替波列,引发北半球中高纬度大气环流异常,从而影响东北夏季降水。  相似文献   

Marine debris collects within the North Pacific Subtropical Convergence Zone   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Pichel WG  Churnside JH  Veenstra TS  Foley DG  Friedman KS  Brainard RE  Nicoll JB  Zheng Q  Clemente-Colón P 《Marine pollution bulletin》2007,54(8):1207-1211

Floating marine debris, particularly derelict fishing gear, is a hazard to fish, marine mammals, turtles, sea birds, coral reefs, and even human activities. To ameliorate the economic and environmental impact of marine debris, we need to efficiently locate and retrieve dangerous debris at sea. Guided by satellite-derived information, we made four flights north of Hawaii in March and April 2005. During these aerial surveys, we observed over 1800 individual pieces of debris, including 122 derelict fishing nets. The largest debris concentrations were found just north of the North Pacific Transition Zone Chlorophyll Front (TZCF) within the North Pacific Subtropical Convergence Zone (STCZ). Debris densities were significantly correlated with sea-surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll-a concentration (Chla), and the gradient of Chla. A Debris Estimated Likelihood Index (DELI) was developed to predict where high concentrations of debris would be most likely in the North Pacific during spring and early summer.  相似文献   

一次热对流降水成因的分析和模拟   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

李昀英  宇如聪  傅云飞  叶成志 《气象学报》2008,66(2):190-202

夏季受西太平洋副热带高压控制的中国大陆地区常发生热对流降水.文中首先利用TRMM卫星观测资料、地面自动站地表温度观测资料和NCEP资料分析了热对流降水的特征及其产生的背景条件;利用区域平均的水汽方程诊断了地表蒸发、水汽平流和水汽通量辐合项的贡献,分析了降水的水汽来源;进一步利用AREM区域数值预报模式,设计了4个敏感性试验,研究了陆气感热、潜热通量对降水的贡献.结果表明,在副热带高压控制的地区,白天强烈的非均匀地表感热加热可导致低层热空气块突破环境下沉气流而上升,周围空气补充形成辐合运动.低层空气的辐合上升既可引起水汽的汇聚,又可把低层的水汽输送到高层.同时非均匀陆面特征造成的非均匀感热和潜热通量的共同作用增强了大气的位势不稳定度,触发了对流,但感热通量对热对流降水的贡献比潜热通量略大.热对流降水的水汽除部分来自地表蒸发外,另一部分来自低层的水平通量辐合.定量计算表明二者对大气可降水量的贡献基本相当,而平流水汽的贡献很小.  相似文献   

气候平均场上西太平洋副热带高压双脊线过程可能成因的动力诊断分析     

祁莉  张祖强  何金海 《大气科学》2008,32(2):395-404

利用NCEP-DOE再分析数据集II,诊断分析了气候平均场上6次西太平洋副热带高压双脊线过程,借助一个两层半大气模式,从动力学上初步揭示了西太平洋热带大气准10天振荡（Quasi Ten-day Oscillation,简称QTO）向西北方向传播与季风槽东伸西撤之间的相互作用过程,探讨了气候平均场上西太副高双脊线可能的形成机制。分析表明季风槽准10天东西振荡是气候平均场上西太副高双脊线形成的主要原因,而季风槽东伸西撤与QTO传播密切相关。进一步分析发现,QTO向西北方向传播,东风切变作用于斜压辐散的经向梯度,在对流中心北侧生成正扰动涡度。QTO在季风槽东侧激发的气旋性扰动涡度,诱导季风槽东伸,侵入副高,造成副高外围变形,形成双脊线。因此,形成西太副高双脊线的主要原因之一可能是西太平洋热带大气QTO。尽管季风槽东伸直接引起副高双脊线发生,但是它只不过是受QTO影响的一种表现。本文仅为诊断结果,其结果还有待于模式敏感性试验的验证。  相似文献   

IMPACTS OF CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION AND RESOLUTION ON THE MJO SIMULATION   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

贾小龙  李崇银  凌健 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2009,15(1):106-110

Madden-Julian Oscillations (MJO) in six integrations using an AGCM with different cumulus parameterization schemes and resolutions are examined to investigate their impacts on the MJO simulation. Results suggest that the MJO simulation can be affected by both resolution and cumulus parameterization, though the latter, which determines the fundamental ability of the AGCM in simulating the MJO and the characteristics of the simulated MJO, is more crucial than the former. Model resolution can substantially affect the simulated MJO in certain aspects. Increasing resolution cannot improve the simulated MJO substantially, but can significantly modulate the detailed character of the simulated MJO; meanwhile, the impacts of resolution are dependent on the cumulus parameterization, determining the basic features of the MJO. Changes in the resolution do not alter the nature of the simulated MJO but rather regulate the simulation itself, which is constrained by cumulus parameterization schemes. Therefore, the vertical resolution needs to be increased simultaneously. The vertical profile of diabatic heating may be a crucial factor that is responsible for these different modeling results. To a large extent, it is determined by the cumulus parameterization scheme used.  相似文献   

MJO与ENSO关系的研究进展   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

于毅  孟祥凤 《气象与减灾研究》2010,33(1):5-9

MJO是热带大气的强信号,ENSO是热带太平洋海气相互作用的最强信号,两者的时间空间尺度不同,但都对全球范围的大气活动有显著的影响,且两者之间也有着密切的关系。总结了近年来MJO和ENSO相互关系方面的研究,并在此基础上提出需要进一步研究的问题。  相似文献   

A first approach to study the mobility and behavior of lead in hypersaline salt marsh sediments: Diffusive and advective fluxes,geochemical partitioning and Pb isotopes     

M.F. Soto-Jiménez  F. Páez-Osuna 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2010

A geochemical study of interstitial water and solid phase sediment using bulk concentration and geochemical partitioning was undertaken in vertical sediment profiles to trace diagenetic processes of lead (Pb) in hypersaline salt marsh sediments. In addition, we measured the stable isotopic composition of Pb in order to distinguish its input sources. Concentrations of Pb increased from low or background values in the bottommost layer (< 60 cm depth), followed by fluctuations in the middle layer (20–60 cm) and peak values in the subsurface layer (3–5 cm). Pb associated to reactive fractions (e.g. OM, Fe–Mn oxyhydroxides and carbonates) accounted for 60% of that initially deposited. Stable Pb isotope data (²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁷Pb and ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁸Pb) suggested that most of the Pb in the upper sediments (1.204 ± 0.002 and 2.469 ± 0.007) is still derived from the leaded gasoline combustion (1.201 ± 0.006 and 2.475 ± 0.005). Profile of dissolved Pb was related to those for ammonium, phosphates and dissolve Fe and Mn, which reveals the influence of the diagenetic reactions on the Pb behavior. OM, Fe–Mn oxyhydroxides and the sulfide minerals play a significant role for mobilizing and trapping the Pb. Metal mobilization was calculated considering an advective–diffusive system. The advective process constitutes the dominant mechanism of Pb mobilization. A low diffusive outflux with respect to the Pb mobilization rate suggested that most of the released Pb is retained in the sediments. Authigenic oxides precipitated at the oxic–suboxic layers (0–4 cm depth) and authigenic sulfide minerals formed Pb in the anoxic layers (7–20 cm depth) constituting the main scavengers for Pb that is diagenetically released. This retention has significant environmental implications because it reduces the availability and toxicity of Pb to biota, including humans.  相似文献   

基于MJO的延伸预报   总被引：30，自引：3，他引：27  

丁一汇  梁萍 《气象》2010,36(7):111-122

近10年来,2～4周的延伸预报成为天气和气候业务预报发展的一个方向。目前比较有效的方法是根据季节内振荡的传播,尤其是MJO振荡(30～60天周期)的传播来制作延伸期预报。国际上一些天气-气候预报中通过数年的业务试验已取得了初步结果。作者首先介绍了MJO振荡及季风的季节内振荡(MISO)特征,并从季节内振荡与中纬度相互作用的角度讨论了制作延伸预报的理论依据;进一步对延伸预报的可预报性、预报方法及国内外业务应用进展进行了综述,并以江淮梅雨为例探讨了我国延伸预报的可预报性及信号;最后阐述了延伸预报的发展趋势。  相似文献   

西太平洋副热带高压与海表温度的关系   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

范磊  刘秦玉 《热带海洋学报》2009,28(5):83-88

利用超前滞后相关分析研究了西太平洋副热带高压与海表面温度异常的关系。选取各关键海区分析海温与西太副高在不同时段上的超前滞后相关, 结果表明，冬季东太平洋海温与滞后其2—3个月的副高异常达最大正相关，热带印度洋海温异常与冬季同期副高异常的正相关最显著；西太平洋海温在冬春季与同期的副高负相关最显著；北太平洋海温在冬春季滞后副高1—2个月时存在负相关，大西洋暖池区6月与西太副高的同期正相关最大；对南太平洋来说，冬季的西太副高与从前秋到春季的SST都存在最大负相关。海表温度的异常主要解释冬春季的西太副高异常，而对于夏秋季副热带高压，SST的作用比较有限  相似文献   

西太平洋云量变化与中国东部的降水   总被引：12，自引：0，他引：12       下载免费PDF全文

章名立 《大气科学》1993,17(5):576-583

本文用“综合海洋大气资料集”(COADS)中月平均总云量资料得到了1905—1985年西太平洋地区夏季云量的历史演变.在副热带地区存在一个云量最少的带,这个云带的演变能较好地反映西太平洋副热带高压的变化.云带的位置和中心云量值具有明显的10年尺度的变化,它与中国东部雨量的变化有着明显的关系.因此它能提供近80年形成我国东部气候变化的夏季西太平洋副热带地区的环流变化的特征.  相似文献